Bollinger Bands is a volatility-based indicator designed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s to help traders identify overbought or oversold market conditions in an asset’s price. Bollinger Bands consist of three primary lines, an upper and lower band, and a middle simple moving average (SMA), usually 20-period.
Bollinger Bands work through the interaction of price with Bollinger Band indicator lines. The upper and lower bands are typically two standard deviations above and below the SMA and expand and contract dynamically to reflect changes in market volatility. Bollinger Bands indicate potential overbought conditions when price touches or exceeds the upper band and oversold conditions when price touches or falls below the lower band.
Traders use Bollinger Bands by calculating three plotted lines on a price chart, identifying market conditions, customizing Bollinger Bands settings to suit their trading strategies, interpreting price behavior in the bands, looking for trading opportunities and confirmation signals with technical indicators like RSI, then executing and managing positions.
The benefits of Bollinger Bands include simple volatility measurement, identification of potential reversals, trend confirmation, identification of breakout opportunities, versatility, and accessibility on most trading platforms.
The limitations of Bollinger Bands include whipsaws, lagging indicator, subjectivity in parameter selection, market adaption, false breakouts, single indicator limitation, and unpredictability.
What are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands is a technical analysis indicator that measures market volatility and identifies overbought or oversold market conditions. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines, one center simpler moving average (SMA), and upper and lower lines (bands) or ‘envelopes’, spaced within two standard deviations above and below the center moving average.
Financial analyst and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) John Bollinger developed Bollinger Bands in the early 1980s as a tool to help traders and investors establish market volatility by evaluating price action. John Bollinger’s aim was to provide more context to moving averages, which were popular at the time but offered limited information on how to quantify price volatility. Bollinger Bands became widely known after being covered in Perry Kaufman’s book “The New Commodity Trading Systems and Methods” published in 1987. John Bollinger later published in detail the theory and application of Bollinger Bands in his 2001 book, ‘Bollinger on Bollinger Bands’, which has since been translated into eleven languages.
Traders and investors adopted Bollinger Bands in their trading strategies over the 2000s, using electronic trading platforms to expand the scope of the bands and to improve their appearance on price charts. Forex traders use Bollinger Bands when analyzing prices across multiple assets, including stocks, Forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
Bollinger Bands’ use of standard deviation to adjust the bands’ width automatically based on market volatility makes it easy for beginners in Forex trading training programs to use the indicator when identifying potential overbought and oversold market conditions.
What does Bollinger Bands indicate?
Bollinger Bands indicate volatility and relative price levels in a market based off a moving average and an upper and lower band lines. Technical analysts look to Bollinger Bands to determine when market prices are trading at relatively higher or lower levels than the historical average. Bollinger Bands help indicate trend strength (for continuations and reversals) and confirm breakout opportunities.
Bollinger Bands indicate market volatility by measuring the width of the bands, which is the distance between the upper and lower band lines. Wide or expanding Bollinger Bands indicate increased market volatility, while contracting or narrow Bollinger Bands indicate reduced market volatility, usually preceding a price breakout.
Bollinger Bands use the reaction of price to the upper and lower bands to indicate relative price levels where the market is overbought or oversold and could reverse or pullback. The upper Bollinger Band line shows overextended price levels that are higher than the historical average and signals a sell opportunity if price touches or moves above the band and rejects it. The lower Bollinger Band line shows prices that are lower than the historical average and signals a buy opportunity if price touches or moves below the band and rejects it.
Technical analysis traders read and interpret Bollinger Bands by looking at the market price reaction relative to the middle band (moving average). Traders interpret Bollinger Bands as an indicator of a strong bullish trend when price consistently stays above the middle moving average line and constantly touches the upper band. Traders interpret Bollinger Bands as an indicator of a strong bearish trend when price consistently remains below the middle moving average and sees prices frequently touching the lower band.
Pullback traders rely on Bollinger Bands to indicate potential reversals when price touches the upper or lower bands, then quickly corrects towards the center band. Breakout traders look at Bollinger Bands to identify periods of consolidation and potential breakouts as the band ‘squeezes’ before moving sharply in one direction. Bollinger Bands are typically combined with other indicators, chart patterns, and candlestick patterns to indicate a confirmed trading signal.
Bollinger Bands indicate potential support and resistance levels at the upper and lower bands, where traders may set take-profit targets and stop-loss positions to cover their positions.
What are Bollinger Bands with Simple Moving Average (SMA)?
Bollinger Bands with simple moving averages are listed below.
- Upper band: The upper band line of a Bollinger Band is part of the envelope calculated by adding a standard deviation (usually 2) to the middle SMA line. Upper bands indicate potential overbought and resistance levels where the price has moved far from the average and is due for a correction.
- Middle line (simple moving average): The middle line of the Bollinger Band is a simple moving average (SMA) that represents the average price over a specified period. Calculating the SMA involves adding the closing prices for the specified period (usually 20 days) and dividing by the number of periods. The “simple moving average definition” means that it smooths out price fluctuations and provides a baseline from which traders may gauge market volatility in the prevailing trend.
- Lower Band: The lower band line of a Bollinger Band is part of the envelope calculated by subtracting a standard deviation (usually 2) from the middle SMA line. Lower bands indicate potential oversold and support levels where the price has drifted far from the average and is ready to reverse or correct.
What is the importance of Bollinger Bands in Technical Analysis?
Bollinger Bands are important in technical analysis for improving visual representation and calculation of volatility in dynamic markets. Bollinger Bands help in pattern recognition of technical chart patterns like M-tops and W-bottoms and provide a statistical approach to price action to improve objectivity when making trading decisions.
Bollinger Bands are crucial in technical analysis for providing an accurate reflection of current market volatility by automatically adapting to different market conditions. Bollinger Bands occur as three lines on a price chart which is easy for traders to analyze and interpret when the market is highly volatile (wide bands) or calm (narrow bands). Technical analysis traders have an easier time predicting potential breakouts once they notice a volatility squeeze on Bollinger Bands.
Bollinger Bands are vital in pattern recognition of technical analysis chart patterns like M-tops and W-bottoms or double tops and double bottoms. Traders and investors watch how price interacts with the upper and lower bands, looking to spot chart pattern formations that provide early indications of a trend reversal. The upper and lower lines in Bollinger Bands technical analysis reflect potential strong support and resistance levels that traders may use to determine entry and exit points for their trades.
Bollinger Bands provide a statistical backbone for approaching technical analysis by using standard deviations. Traders using Bollinger Bands have an objective reference point when measuring price extremes which is essential for minimizing subjectivity when using technical indicators. Bollinger Bands combine trend analysis, momentum analysis, and volatility analysis in its weighted structure, reducing the need for cluttering charts with multiple indicators and providing a holistic view of market conditions.
Bollinger Bands are essential in technical analysis for enabling customization to fit trader strategies and trading styles. Bollinger Bands incorporate the definition of technical analysis by allowing traders to use historical market data to predict future price action. Technical analysis combines past price data with real-time tick prices to create a highly adaptable indicator that serves all timeframes. Short-term traders such as scalpers and day traders use short SMA periods (e.g., 9, 13, or 20) and low standard deviations (e.g., 1.5 and 2) to capture short-term price movements, while long-term traders like swing and position traders adjust the lookback period of Bollinger Bands to use longer SMA periods (e.g., 50, 100, or 200) and higher standard deviations (e.g., 2 or 2.5) to align the indicator results with the expectations of the strategies.
How do Bollinger Bands work?
Bollinger Bands work through three lines, a center moving average line, an upper band, and a lower band which are plotted relative to a security like a currency pair and stock price movement. Bollinger Bands use standard deviations to visually represent market volatility as price reacts to the upper and lower bands.
Bollinger Bands indicate changes in price volatility of an underlying asset by tightening or widening the width of the upper and lower bands. Tight or narrow bands indicate low volatility in the market and increase the probability of a sharp move as the start of a new trend or reversal. Wide Bollinger Bands show periods of increased price volatility and increase the likelihood of a consolidation or end of a trend forming.
There are four main types of Bollinger Bands (BB), the Standard Bollinger Band being the most popular, the Bollinger %B, the Bollinger BandWidth (BBW), and the BBImpulse being variations of the standard BB.
The standard Bollinger Band works using the middle simple moving average as the baseline from which standard deviation values are calculated to show how much closing prices deviate from the historical average. The simple moving average calculates the average price for a specified period and automatically recalculates its prices when new price data comes in to ensure accurate real-time positions on the charts at all times. Most traders use the default 20-period simple moving average and 2 standard deviations width as their settings when using the Bollinger Band indicator.
Bollinger %B is a variation of the Standard Bollinger Bands indicator that measures the relative position of price within the bands. Bollinger %B uses a scale from o to 1, where a %B point 0 indicates instances when price touches or goes below the lower Bollinger Band to signal an oversold market. Bollinger %B point of 1 indicates instances when price touches or drives above the upper Bollinger Band to signal an overbought market. Bollinger %B value of 0.5 indicates instances when price is exactly at the middle line or simple moving average, indicating a neutral market.
Bollinger BandWidth (BBW) is a type of Bollinger Band that measures the percentage difference between the upper and lower Bollinger Bands. High or rising BBW values indicate a wide Bollinger Band width and higher price volatility while low or falling BBW values indicate a narrow Bollinger Band width and lower price volatility. Bollinger BandWidth helps traders and investors anticipate potential breakouts after periods of consolidation.
BBImpulse is a type of Bollinger Band that combines the standard BB with momentum analysis by measuring the strength of price impulses relative to the bands. BBImpulse determines a strong or weak price impulse based on the rate of change of the distance between the current market price and the nearest Bollinger bands. Positive and rising BBImpulse values indicate a strong bullish price movement, while a positive and declining BBImpulse value indicates a loss of momentum in the uptrend. Negative and falling BBImpulse value indicates a strong bearish trend while a negative and rising BBImpulse value indicates a loss of downward momentum and suggests a potential reversal.
How are Bollinger Bands Calculated?
Bollinger Bands are calculated in three steps, including calculating the simple moving average, calculating the standard deviation, and calculating the upper and lower bands. The simple moving average of Bollinger Bands is estimated for a specified period and provides the framework for using standard deviations to understand price volatility.
Calculating the simple moving average (SMA) involves adding the closing prices of the last ‘n’ periods, for instance, 20 days, and dividing them by ‘n’ (i.e., 20). The formula for calculating SMA is:
SMA = (X1+X2+…+Xn) / n
Where “Xn” is the price of an underlying asset at period n and “n” is the number of total periods.
Bollinger Bands formula for calculating the standard deviation over the same ‘n’ period involves subtracting the mean value (or SMA) of all closing prices from the value of the closing prices to determine the variance of each closing point. To obtain standard deviation, square the variance of each closing price and find the sum of all squared variance values. Divide the sum of squared variances by the ‘n’ period less 1, then find the square root of the quotient. The formula for calculating standard deviation is:
Where “xi” is the closing price at each period, “x̄” is the average price (SMA) and “n” is the total number of periods.
Calculating the upper and lower Bollinger Bands involves adding standard deviations to the SMA to see the deviation of price above the mean, and subtracting standard deviations from the SMA to see how price is spread out below the mean. High standard deviation values mean that more price moves are captured inside the upper and lower bands in a normally distributed market. For instance, a standard deviation of 1 means the Bollinger Bands represent around 68% of price moves that have recently occurred in a market, while a standard deviation of 2 represents nearly 95% of price moves that have occurred inside the upper and lower bands.
The formula for calculating the upper Bollinger band is:
Upper Band = 20-day SMA + (20-day standard deviation × 2).
The formula for calculating the lower Bollinger band is:
Lower Band = 20-day SMA – (20-day standard deviation × 2).
The width of a Bollinger Band is calculated by measuring the distance between the upper and lower band. Wide Bollinger Bands indicate highly volatile markets, while narrow bands indicate low market volatility.
The calculated values for the simple moving average (middle band), the upper band, and the lower band are plotted on a price chart to create the visual Bollinger Bands that traders use during market analysis and trade execution.
How to use Bollinger Bands?
Using Bollinger Bands involves several steps:
- Calculate the Bollinger Bands. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines plotted on a price chart. Most trading platforms including MetaTrader 4/5, TradingView, NinjaTrader, and cTrader, offer Bollinger Bands as an in-built indicator that automatically calculates the values of the middle SMA line and the upper and lower band lines instead of demanding manual calculation.
- Identify market conditions. Bollinger Bands help identify market conditions. When price is trading in a range, the upper and lower Bollinger Bands contract and price oscillates close to the middle SMA to indicate low volatility. When price is trading in a trending market, the Bollinger Bands expand and price rides the bands or walks with the upper band in an uptrend and tags along the lower bands in a downtrend.
- Choose the right timeframe. Bollinger Bands indicator works on all timeframes, so decide on a timeframe that aligns with your trading style. Apply the Bollinger Bands indicator on 5, 15, or 60-minute charts for intraday trading, H4 and daily charts for swing trading, and weekly charts for position trading.
- Adjust Bollinger Band parameters: Bollinger Bands use a default setting of 20-period SMA and 2 standard deviations. Customize the simple moving average period and standard deviation values to a higher or lower figure depending on the underlying asset being analyzed, market conditions, and trading strategy.
- Interpret price interaction with Bollinger Bands. Bollinger Bands indicate periods when the market is overbought or oversold. Check the position of price relative to the upper and lower bands. Price is overbought when price approaches or breaks above the upper band and suggests a potential bearish reversal or pullback. Price is oversold when price approaches or breaks below the lower band, signaling a potential upward reversal or pullback. Use the middle band (SMA) as a support and resistance trend indicator. Consider price to remain bullish if it tests and closes above the SMA and bearish if it drops and closes below the SMA.
- Look for trading opportunities. Bollinger Bands provide breakout trading opportunities using the Bollinger Band squeeze and reversal or retracement setups using the Bollinger Band bounce. Look for breakout continuation opportunities when Bollinger Band width contracts tightly and price breaks above or below the upper or lower bands. Look for reversal or mean reversion opportunities when the price bounces off the upper or lower bands and retraces back to the middle SMA band.
- Confirm trading signals. Bollinger Band indicator is highly accurate when combined with other technical indicators like RSI, MACD, and volume indicators like On-Balance Volume (OBV). Use confirming indicators like the RSI and MACD to look for divergence and confirm the overbought and oversold market conditions. Look at volume indicators to confirm that breakout trading opportunities are accompanied by increased volume.
- Execute trades and manage risk. Bollinger Bands provide accurate entry and exit price levels around the SMA or upper and lower band. Execute long positions when the price touches or is near the lower band and short positions at or near the upper band. Set stop-loss orders beyond the band opposite to the trade and take-profit at the middle (SMA) band or beyond the band that’s in line with the trade.
How are Bollinger Bands used in Forex Trading?
Bollinger Bands are used in Forex trading to identify overbought and oversold market conditions and to provide price targets for potential trade entry and exit points. Forex traders use Bollinger Bands to implement mean reversion strategies, manage Forex news-driven volatility, and evaluate currency pair correlations.
Bollinger Bands simplify the identification of overbought and oversold markets when price touches the upper or lower bands. Forex trading is influenced by factors like economic data and investor sentiment which affect the liquidity and volatility of a currency pair in the 24-hour market. Bollinger Bands expand when market volatility is high e.g., during major news releases or overlapping London-New York trading sessions, and contract when market volatility is low, allowing market participants to gauge volatility in real-time.
Bollinger Bands are used in Forex trading to provide entry and exit price levels for different currency pairs depending on their trading strategies. Forex traders use Bollinger Bands when anticipating breakout opportunities in predominantly volatile currency pairs like USD/JPY, NZD/USD, EUR/GBP, USD/CAD, and USD/ZAR. Bollinger Bands provide entry signals when price breaks out of narrow bands (Bollinger Band Squeeze) in the direction of the breakout. Market participants hold the trade with the stop-loss below the band that’s opposite the trade direction and exit when the Bollinger Bands begin contracting again to signal a decline in trend volatility and momentum.
Mean reversion Forex traders utilize Bollinger Bands to execute trades based on the idea that price tends to return to the simple moving average (middle band). Traders monitor how price interacts with the upper and lower bands and open opposite trades once price ‘bounces’ off from the bands. Mean reversion strategies typically target the SMA as the take-profit level for each trade.
Bollinger Bands are used in Forex trading to visualize how correlated currency pairs behave during volatile periods. Traders with knowledge about Forex trading and how currency pairs work observe how the price action of correlated pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD behaves inside Bollinger Bands and make trading decisions based on discrepancies between the pairs. For instance, traders detect arbitrage or divergence trading opportunities when EUR/USD moves outside the upper or lower bands, while GBP/USD remains within the bands.
How are Bollinger Bands utilized in Forex Trading Platforms?
Bollinger Bands are utilized in Forex trading platforms to provide more customization options for traders, enhance backtesting of Bollinger Bands strategies, and enable automated trading based on Bollinger Bands. Forex traders utilize Bollinger Bands in Forex trading platforms to conduct multi-timeframe analysis.
Forex trading platforms like MetaTrader 4/5, cTrader, Ninja Trader, and TradingView utilize Bollinger Bands to improve customization and personalization of Bollinger Band settings. Forex trading platforms enable traders to customize the SMA color, increase or decrease the standard deviation, and change band line colors to suit their preference. Trading platforms allow traders to save the custom Bollinger Band settings as a template to enable traders to apply the indicator across different currency pairs and timeframes.
Forex traders use Bollinger Bands in Forex trading platforms to backtest different Bollinger Band strategies against historical data. Backtesting provides useful performance metrics such as win/loss ratio, maximum drawdown, and overall profitability. Bollinger Bands are incorporated in custom algorithms, bots, or Expert Advisors (EAs) by top rated forex brokers to facilitate automated decision-making and order execution on their platforms.
How do Bollinger Bands work with other Technical Indicators?
Bollinger Bands work synergistically with other technical indicators to provide more robust market analysis and improve the accuracy of trading signals. Bollinger Bands indicator is popularly used alongside the RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator, ATR, and volume indicators like OBV to confirm the strength of price moves and filter out false breakouts.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is the best indicator to use with Bollinger Bands because the combination measures price volatility, trend direction, and momentum of overbought or oversold signals, which is useful in all market conditions, timeframes, and trading strategies. The RSI uses a scale of 0 – 100 to determine when a market is overbought or oversold, with price below 30 being oversold and above 70 being overbought. Bollinger Band-RSI combination confirms an overbought market signal when price touches or exceeds the upper Bollinger Band and the RSI is above 70. An oversold market condition is confirmed when price touches or exceeds the lower Bollinger Band and the RSI is below 30.
Bollinger Bands is combined with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to confirm the strength of market trends (momentum) while gauging the price volatility at specific price levels. The MACD indicator uses two moving averages to measure the momentum of an asset’s price and confirm potential reversal price levels. The Bollinger Bands-MACD combination confirms a bullish trade signal when price is near or touches the lower Bollinger Band and the MACD lines cross upwards to confirm a bullish trend. Bollinger Band-MACD combination confirms a bearish trade signal when price is near or touches the upper Bollinger Band and MACD shows a bearish crossover to confirm a downward trend.
Traders and investors combine Bollinger Bands with volume indicators like the On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Money Flow Index (MFI) to validate breakout moves and identify false signals in breakout trading strategies. Bollinger Bands-Volume indicators combination identifies breakout points when the price breaks above the upper band or below the lower band, then validates the breakout signal with a spike in volume. Traders identify false breakout signals by avoiding breakout trades with low-volume indications.
Bollinger Bands works with a technical indicator like chart patterns to provide precise entry and exit points for traders. Chart patterns such as M-tops and W-bottoms, head and shoulders patterns, or double or triple bottoms and tops occurring at the upper or lower Bollinger Bands increase the probability of success for trade signals and provide exact price levels for traders to execute orders.
When to use Bollinger Bands in Trading?
The best time to use Bollinger Bands in trading is when analyzing the strength of price moves and the direction of a trend in volatile markets. Traders use Bollinger Bands when markets are consolidating and they’re anticipating a potential breakout, or when the market is in an extended trend and they’re expecting a reversal or correction to happen.
Market participants use Bollinger Bands when trying to determine the direction and momentum of price movements in a market. Bollinger Bands indicate a bullish trend when price trades above the middle band (SMA) and sticks to the upper band while a bearish trend has price below the SMA and hugging along the lower band line. Wide Bollinger Bands indicate high volatility in a trending market, while narrow bands signal low volatility in the market.
Bollinger Bands are used in trading when markets are consolidating during a period of low volatility. Traders look out for the Bollinger Band squeeze when the upper and lower bands contract (squeeze) before price breaks out and establishes a trend. Bollinger Bands breakouts that are confirmed by other indicators like the RSI or volume make it easy for traders to capitalize and profit from breakout opportunities.
Traders use Bollinger Bands when a trend prolongs for a long period and price is approaching a key support and resistance level. Bollinger Bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels where price may experience increased buying or selling pressure, resulting in a reversal or correction. Traders look for entry levels once price touches or crosses above or below the upper and lower Bollinger bands, achieving precise entries in case price begins a reversal or correction. Swing traders use the upper and lower Bollinger bands when looking for exit points for their swing trades since trends may be overbought or oversold at the extremes of the band lines.
What is the best time frame to use Bollinger Bands?
The best timeframe to use Bollinger Bands depends on the trading style and strategy, and the asset’s volatility. Short-term traders like scalpers, day traders, and high-frequency traders benefit from 1-minute, 5-minute, and 15-minute timeframes, while medium-term traders like intraday and swing traders benefit from the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour timeframes. Long-term traders, like position traders and investors, benefit from the daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
The best timeframes for breakout traders who use Bollinger Bands is usually the 30-minute to 4-hour timeframes because they provide multiple reliable signals per trading day. Short-time frames like the 1-minute and 5-minute offer numerous trade signals but with a high number of false breakouts due to high volatility and sudden price fluctuations. High timeframes like daily and weekly are ideal for traders seeking to capture major market moves with high accuracy.
Short to medium timeframes like the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour offer the best results when using Bollinger Bands to analyze volatile assets like the major Forex pairs or commodities. Larger timeframes like 4-hour and daily are better suited for less-volatile trending markets where traders hold positions for weeks to months.
What is the accuracy rate of Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands using the standard setting of 20-period simple moving average and 2 standard deviations are designed to cover 95% of price action within the upper and lower bands, according to John Bollinger, the founder of Bollinger Bands. The accuracy rate of Bollinger Bands in predicting successful price reversals, breakouts, or trend continuations depends on the market conditions, trader skill and experience, and combination with other indicators.
Bollinger Band indicators using lower standard deviation figures such as 1 or 1.5 have a 68% probability that all market price moves will fall inside the upper and lower bands. Bollinger bands using a higher standard deviation value like 2.5 and 3 have a 99.7% probability that all market price moves will fall inside the upper and lower bands.
Traders have a higher accuracy in predicting price reversals and breakouts using Bollinger Bands in trending markets. Traders experience reduced prediction accuracy in choppy and volatile markets because the rapid price movements result in more false breakouts and false signals.
Traders increase their accuracy rate when using Bollinger Bands by backtesting the indicator using historical data and strategy testing software. Experienced traders who’ve studied Bollinger Bands for a long time have refined their strategies to minimize false signals and understand the ideal market conditions to trade using the indicator.
What Trading Strategies work well with Bollinger Bands?
The trading strategies that work well with Bollinger Bands include mean reversion strategy, Bollinger squeeze or breakout strategy, trend confirmation strategy, and divergence strategy. Traders incorporate Bollinger Bands in volatility-based trading strategies and combine the bands with technical indicators like RSI, MACD, and ATR to confirm trading signals.
Mean reversion strategies work well with Bollinger Bands because price tends to revert to the historic average (simple moving average) when it approaches or breaks through the upper and lower bands. Mean reversion traders take short trades when price touches the upper band and long positions when the price touches the lower band, expecting to take profit at the middle band (SMA average).
Bollinger squeeze or breakout strategy capitalizes on the idea that when Bollinger Bands contract and become narrow, the low volatility is likely to be followed by a breakout move. Breakout traders set their long entries when price closes outside the upper band and short entries when price closes below the lower band, with their stop-loss at least 2–3 times their stop-loss distance.
Trend-confirmation strategy works well with Bollinger Bands because price tends to ‘walk’ or ‘hug’ the upper or lower bands in a trending market. Traders open long positions when prices hug the upper band, confirming an uptrend, and enter short positions when price hugs the lower band, confirming the downtrend. Trend confirmation traders use the middle SMA band as the exit level since the pullback could indicate the start of a potential reversal.
Divergence trading strategy combines well with Bollinger Band to indicate potential price reversal levels. Divergence traders look for entries in trending markets and execute long positions when price is making lower lows and lower highs while Bollinger Bands is making higher lows and higher highs. Traders open short orders when price is making higher highs and higher lows, while Bollinger Bands is making lower highs and lower lows.
Bollinger Band integrates with most Forex trading strategies seamlessly because it’s easily customizable to suit any trader’s preference and trading style. Forex traders combine Bollinger Bands with technical indicators in their strategies to confirm the trading signals generated because Bollinger Bands is a lagging indicator.
Are Bollinger Bands suitable for scalping?
Yes, the Bollinger Bands indicator is suitable for scalping because it allows traders to incorporate short-term market volatility in their analysis. Bollinger Bands provide clear entry and exit signals which is ideal for scalpers taking numerous trades at a time in fast-moving markets.
Bollinger Bands indicate overbought and oversold levels on price charts which makes it easier for scalpers to execute quick mean reversion trades when price is at extreme levels. Bollinger Bands used on low timeframes like the 1-minute and 5-minute generate many trading signals, ensuring there’s opportunities for different trading strategies e.g., breakouts, trend continuations, or reversals.
Automating strategies based on Bollinger Bands is easy and quick for algorithmic traders and this makes Bollinger Bands suitable for scalping. Short-term traders customize Bollinger Bands indicator to suit their trading strategy and provide automatic alerts when price is at or near the middle or upper and lower bands. Automated alerts increase a scalper’s execution time and ensure the traders don’t miss potentially profitable moves.
What are the Benefits of Bollinger Bands?
The benefits of Bollinger bands are listed below.
- Volatility measurement: Bollinger Bands contract to reflect low volatility in the markets and expand to reflect high market volatility. Traders manage risk better when they understand the volatility condition before executing trades.
- Identification of potential reversals: Bollinger Bands present strong reversal indicators when accompanied by chart patterns like M or double tops and W or double bottoms. Bollinger Bands traders get to execute trades at the extreme reversal points where the market is overbought or oversold.
- Trend confirmation: Bollinger Bands indicates strong bullish trend confirmations when the price ‘walks’ along the upper band and strong bearish trend confirmation when the price ‘hugs’ the lower band, which makes it easy for beginners to determine trend strength and direction.
- Identification of breakout opportunities: Bollinger Bands provide accurate early warnings of a potential price breakout. Bollinger Bands narrow (squeeze) during a period of price contraction to signal an imminent breakout and allow traders to position themselves for the opportunity.
- Versatility: Bollinger Bands provide trading opportunities across all currency pairs, timeframes, and trending or ranging markets. Bollinger Band traders capitalize on this versatility to capture large price moves.
- Supported by trading platforms: Bollinger Bands are widely used and available on most trading platforms including MetaTrader 4/5 and cTrader, making it accessible to most traders.
What are the Limitations of Bollinger Bands?
The limitations of Bollinger bands are listed below.
- Whipsaws: Bollinger Bands experience large price whipsaws in sideways or choppy markets, causing false signals when price touches the upper or lower bands without reversing to the mean or breaking out.
- Lagging indicator: Bollinger Bands don’t reflect accurate real-time price volatility since the indicator is based on historical data. Traders may miss the early phases of a move when Bollinger Bands is late to react to moves in volatile market conditions.
- Subjectivity in parameter selection: Bollinger Bands allows traders to customize trading parameters like moving average period and standard deviation settings, leading to subjective indicator performance.
- Single indicator limitation: Bollinger Bands is more effective when used in combination with other technical indicators like the RSI, MACD, and OBV. Using Bollinger Bands alone results in misinterpretations and increased false signals.
- Not predictive: Bollinger Bands doesn’t predict whether price will move up or down in future. Traders have to conduct in-depth analysis of markets to have a high probability of success predicting future trend direction.
- Doesn’t account for external factors: Bollinger Bands doesn’t account for external factors that move markets such as economic data, investor sentiment, and geopolitical events. Traders may miss the big picture when focusing solely on Bollinger Bands and incur unnecessary losses.
Is Bollinger Bands reliable?
Yes, Bollinger Bands is a reliable indicator for measuring price volatility of securities like currency pairs, stocks, cryptos and commodities. Bollinger Bands adapt to different market conditions quickly, help traders spot overbought and oversold markets, and are simple to interpret. Bollinger Bands become less reliable when identifying potential buy or sell signals and require extra technical confirmation to enhance accuracy.
Bollinger Bands is among the most responsive indicators to volatility changes in the market. Traders rely on Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions in overextended trends, which makes it ideal when looking for reversals, breakouts, and mean-reversion setups.
Traders find Bollinger Bands indicators efficient and reliable because they’re easy to spot and interpret on a price chart. Simplicity ensures that beginners and intermediate traders are able to incorporate Bollinger Bands to their strategy and monitor volatility when taking trades.
Bollinger Bands become unreliable when used as the standalone indicator during market analysis and trade execution. Bollinger Bands indicator is most reliable when combined with the RSI and a volume indicator that confirm trade signals and filter out false signals generated in volatile markets.
The reliability of Bollinger Bands increases and decreases when traders change the default indicator settings (20-period SMA and 2 standard deviation) to suit their trading styles. Short-term traders may find that using a 10-period SMA and 1.5 standard deviation offers more accurate trade signals in highly volatile markets, but the same settings result in more false signals for swing traders who prefer a 50-period SMA to gain better accuracy when analyzing trends.
Are Bollinger Bands Profitable?
Yes, Bollinger Bands are relatively profitable when used in the right trading strategy, on the right assets, and in the appropriate market conditions. Bollinger Bands generate the most profits when combined with other technical indicators, as confirmed by Lento, Camillo, and Nikola Gradojevic (2007) in their paper, “The profitability of technical trading rules: A combined signal approach”.
Lento et. al observed that Bollinger Bands by itself performs poorly on certain securities like the Nasdaq (Nas100) and DJIA (US30) but is at times able to outperform the market average on Forex currencies like USD/CAD. The study found that a combined approach where Bollinger Bands combined with around 8-10 technical indicators provided more reliable and profitable signals that outperformed the traditional buy-and-hold trading strategy.
Bollinger Bands alone don’t offer significant profits with transaction costs, spreads, and other fees eating into the potential profits from the indicator. Traders who make large profits from Bollinger Bands are usually disciplined to implement risk management using stop-loss and trailing stop orders, and this allows them to minimize losses while locking in profits.
What is the difference between Bollinger Bands and RSI?
The difference between Bollinger Bands and RSI (relative strength index) is their purpose and how they are calculated. Bollinger Bands is a volatility indicator consisting of a moving average and an upper and lower ‘envelope’ band. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price moves on a scale from 0 to 100.
Bollinger Bands and RSI are similar indicators because they both identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. Bollinger Bands uses price action and volatility to determine an overbought or oversold condition, while the RSI uses momentum shifts to identify overbought and oversold market conditions.
Bollinger Bands differ from the RSI and other similar technical indicators like Keltner Channels, Moving Average Envelopes, Donchian Channels, and Ichimoku Cloud in that the width of Bollinger Bands doesn’t remain constant but expands and contracts to reflect the historical volatility of underlying assets.
Bollinger Bands is calculated using a simple moving average and standard deviations, which is different from the Relative Strength Index which calculates the average gain and loss of up and down days over a specific period.